xref: /xnu-10063.141.1/tools/entropy_health_test_bounds.py (revision d8b80295118ef25ac3a784134bcf95cd8e88109f)
1*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#!/usr/bin/env python3
2*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
3*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsfrom fractions import Fraction
4*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsfrom math import ceil
5*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsfrom math import comb
6*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
7*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
8*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The inverse of 2, i.e. 2^-1. To be used as a base in exponentiations
9*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# representing probabilities.
10*d8b80295SApple OSS DistributionsINV2 = Fraction(1, 2)
11*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
12*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
13*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The probability of a false positive health test failure expressed as
14*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# the negative logarithm of the *actual* probability. In simpler
15*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# terms, the actual probability is:
16*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
17*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# INV2 ** A
18*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
19*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# It is simpler to keep this representation when computing the bound
20*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# of the Repetition Count Test (below).
21*d8b80295SApple OSS DistributionsA = 40
22*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
23*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
24*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The estimated min-entropy per sample in bits. Min-entropy is the
25*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# negative logarithm of the probability of the *most likely* outcome.
26*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
27*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# We consider this estimate to be conservative.
28*d8b80295SApple OSS DistributionsH = 1
29*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
30*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
31*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The probability of the most likely outcome occurring in a given
32*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# sample. This derives from the definition of min-entropy (see above).
33*d8b80295SApple OSS DistributionsP = INV2 ** H
34*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
35*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
36*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 4.4.1 Repetition Count Test
37*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
38*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The Repetition Count Test (RCT) detects catastrophic failures in the
39*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# noise source when it becomes "stuck" generating a single value over
40*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# many consecutive samples.
41*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
42*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The probability of generating C consecutive identical samples is:
43*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
44*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# P^(C-1)
45*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
46*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# Or equivalently:
47*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
48*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 2^(-H * (C-1))
49*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
50*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# To keep this under our rate of acceptable false positives, we need
51*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# to satisfy this inequality:
52*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
53*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 2^-A >= 2^(-H * (C-1))
54*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
55*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# Taking the logarithm of both sides, we have:
56*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
57*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# -A >= -H * (C-1)
58*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
59*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# Solving for C, we have:
60*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
61*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# (A / H) + 1 >= C
62*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsdef repetition_count_bound():
63*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    return 1 + ceil(Fraction(A, H))
64*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
65*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
66*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 4.4.2 Adaptive Proportion Test
67*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
68*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The Adaptive Proportion Test (APT) tries to detect more subtle noise
69*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# source failures causing certain values to occur with unexpected
70*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# frequency. It does this by taking a sample from the noise source and
71*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# counting how many times the same sample occurs within a fixed-size
72*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# window.
73*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
74*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
75*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The size of the window for non-binary alphabets for the APT.
76*d8b80295SApple OSS DistributionsW = 512
77*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
78*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
79*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The probability mass function measuring the probability of exactly k
80*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# occurrences of a given value within the observation window of size
81*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# W. We use the probability of the most likely event (as above).
82*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
83*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# There are three terms:
84*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
85*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 1. The binomial coefficient of k, i.e. W-choose-k. Simply, how many
86*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# ways are there to get exactly k outcomes given W chances.
87*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
88*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 2. The probability of each of those k events occurring.
89*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions#
90*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# 3. The probability that the other W-k events have some other
91*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# outcome.
92*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsdef pmf(k):
93*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    return comb(W, k) * P**k * (1 - P)**(W-k)
94*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
95*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
96*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# The sum of probabilties of all possible counts of occurrences is 1.
97*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsassert sum(map(pmf, range(W+1))) == 1
98*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
99*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
100*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# We want to find the minimal count of occurrences such that the
101*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# cumulative probability of seeing *at least* that count of
102*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# occurrences (but possibly more) is no more than our false
103*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions# positive threshold.
104*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsdef adaptive_proportion_bound():
105*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # The list of probabilities for each of the possible counts of
106*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # occurrences.
107*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    probs = [pmf(x) for x in range(W+1)]
108*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
109*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # The list of cumulative distributions for each of the possible
110*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # counts of occurrences.
111*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    #
112*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # Whereas probs is a list of probabilities of *exactly* k
113*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # occurrences, this is a list of probabilities of *k or more*
114*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # occurrences.
115*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    #
116*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # These are just sums of probabilities across a range of counts.
117*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    dists = [sum(probs[x:]) for x in range(W+1)]
118*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
119*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # Because we have constructed dists as an ordered list of
120*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # cumulative probabilities, we can simply return the index of the
121*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    # first value that is below our threshold.
122*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    for i, d in enumerate(dists):
123*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions        if d <= INV2**A:
124*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions            return i
125*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
126*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
127*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsdef main():
128*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    print('Estimated min-entropy:', H)
129*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    print('False positive rate: 2^-{}'.format(A))
130*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    print('Repetition Count Test bound:', repetition_count_bound())
131*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    print('Adaptive Proportion Test bound:', adaptive_proportion_bound())
132*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
133*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions
134*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributionsif __name__ == '__main__':
135*d8b80295SApple OSS Distributions    main()
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